Lokacin da Shugaba Donald Trump ya yi barazanar janye goyon bayan Amurka ga Isra'ila saboda matakin Tel Aviv na mamaye yankin Yammacin Kogin Jordan da aka mamaye, ya yi nuni da ainihin manufar Washington game da ƙasar Isra’ila – goyon baya da babu kokonto a kansa.

Barazanar Trump ta zo ne a daidai lokacin da majalisar dokokin Isra'ila – tare da goyon bayan Firaiminista Benjamin Netanyahu da abokan siyasarsa masu tsattsauran ra'ayi – suka gudanar da zaɓen farko don ci gaba da kudirin dokar mamaye Yammacin Kogin Jordan.

Wannan matakin ya fusata Amurka, saboda tana tsoron cewa matakin Isra'ila zai iya lalata yarjejeniyar tsagaita wuta mai rauni da Trump ya tsara a Gaza tsakanin Hamas da Tel Aviv tare da taimakon ƙasashen Musulmi da Larabawa kamar Turkiyya, Masar da Qatar.

Martanin shugabannin Amurka ya kasance mai zafi da tsanani.

"Idan wannan wani salon siyasa ne, to ya kasance na wauta. Na ji haushin hakan," in ji Mataimakin Shugaban Ƙasa JD Vance game da lokacin da aka tsara dokar Isra'ilan.

Sakataren Harkokin Wajen Amurka Marco Rubio, wanda ya kasance mai goyon bayan ƙasar Isra’ila tsawon rayuwarsa, ya gargadi gwamnatin Netanyahu cewa wannan matakin na iya haifar da rushewar tsarin zaman lafiya na Gaza.

Wani babban jami'in Amurka bai yi kasa a gwiwa ba wajen bayyana rashin jin daɗin gwamnatin Trump ta hanyar amfani da kalaman barkwanci.

Yayin da matsin lamba ya ƙaru kan Isra'ila, Netanyahu ya yi ƙoƙarin karkatar da batun, yana mai cewa dokar mamaya ta samo asali ne daga "tsokana" daga 'yan adawa.

Shin Trump yana nufin abin da yake faɗa?

Amma Netanyahu, wanda kwanan nan ya ce Isra'ila ba "ƙasa ce samun mai kariya" daga Amurka ba kuma tana iya yanke shawarar tsaronta da kanta, zai ɗauki barazanar gwamnatin Trump da mahimmanci?

"An ɗauki wannan abu da mahimmanci sosai a nan," in ji Alon Liel, tsohon babban daraktan Ma'aikatar Harkokin Wajen Isra'ila, yana mai cewa ƙungiyoyin masu tsattsauran ra'ayi a Isra'ila ba za su iya yanke shawara kan ajandar mamaya ba.

‘Yan majalisar masu tsattsauran ra’ayi – ciki har da ministoci a majalisar – sun matsa lamba kan Netanyahu kan ajandarsu ta abin da ake kira ‘fadada kasar Isra’ila’ da kuma ɗaukar dukkan ƙasar Falasɗinu, ciki har da Yammacin Kogin Jordan da Gaza.

Amma Liel ya jaddada cewa "idan babu izinin Amurka," wannan ajandar ta masu tsattsauran ra'ayi ba za ta iya "ci gaba" ba.

Gargadin Trump kan mamaya yana "hana faruwar hakan," wanda ya ce yana da matuƙar mahimmanci wajen samar da zaman lafiya a tsakanin Isra'ilawa da Falasɗinawa, in ji Liel ga TRT World.

Amma la'akari da tarihin Amurka da Isra'ila da kuma rashin tabbas na Trump, marubucin Falasɗinu kuma mai nazarin siyasa Kamel Hawwash bai tabbatar da nauyin barazanar Shugaban Amurka ba.

Ya ce kalaman Trump sun kasance masu ƙarfi sosai kan Isra'ila a makon da ya gabata, amma har yanzu "ba a tabbatar" cewa Shugaban Amurka zai yi abin da yake faɗa ba.

Duk da tsara yarjejeniyar tsagaita wuta ta Gaza da sanya hannu kan wata yarjejeniya a taron zaman lafiya na kwanan nan a wurin shakatawa na Sharm el-Sheikh a Masar, Trump ya kauce wa tambayoyi kan kafa ƙasar Falasɗinu, wanda shugabannin Musulmi da Larabawa suka ce wajibi ne don samun zaman lafiya na dindindin tsakanin Isra'ilawa da Falasɗinawa.

"Ba a fayyace inda hakan ya dosa ba," in ji Hawash ga TRT World, yana mai nuni da tsagaita wuta da kuma shirin zaman lafiya na Trump mai matakai 21 a Gaza.

Duk da bayyana matsayinsa na baya bayan nan a bainar jama'a, Trump ya goyi bayan shirin mamaye yankin Yammacin Kogin Jordan na Isra'ila, a cewar wata wasika ta sirri da aka fallasa a shekarar 2022.

Masana kuma sun ga tasirin Qatar a bayan Trump yana kara matsin lamba ga Netanyahu.

Harin da Isra'ila ta kai a Doha babban birnin Qatar a watan Satumba - wanda aka kai kan masu tattaunawa na Hamas - ya girgiza duniya kuma ya fusata shugaban Amurka da makusantansa, ciki har da surukinsa Jared Kushner da wakilin zaman lafiya Steve Witkoff, wadanda dukkansu Yahudawan Amurka ne.

A yayin wata hira mai tsawon minti 60, da Kushner da Witkoff duk sun ce harin da aka kai Qatar yana kara saka Amurka tunanin cewa Isra’ila na “wuce gona da iri.”

Hawash ya yi imanin cewa ta hanyar ƙara matsin lamba ga Netanyahu, Trump yana iya ƙoƙarin hana gwamnatin Isra'ila. Har ma a lokacin ziyararsa ta Amurka a ƙarshen watan Satumba, an tilasta wa Netanyahu kiran Firaministan Qatar Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, tare da neman afuwa kan harin da aka kai a Doha.

"Harin da aka kai wa Qatar ya yi tasiri mafi girma a tunanin Trump... cewa idan Isra'ila ta yi ƙoƙarin jefa bam a ɗaya daga cikin ƙasashen da ke ƙoƙarin kawo ƙarshen faɗan Gaza, to hakan ya wuce gona da iri," in ji shi, yana mai nuni ga yadda gwamnatin Netanyahu ke ketare iyakokin ɗabi'a.

Zaha Hassan, lauya mai kare hakkin dan’adam kuma babbar jami'a a Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, ta danganta barazanar Trump ga Netanyahu da ziyarar da Yarima Mohammed Bin Salman mai jiran gado na Saudiyya zai kai, wanda gwamnatin Amurka ke kokarin shawo kansa don daidaita dangantakar da ke tsakaninsa da Isra'ila ta hanyar shiga yarjejeniyar Abraham ta 2020.

A makon da ya gabata, Ministan Isra'ila mai ra'ayin mazan jiya Bezalel Smotrich ya janye kalaman batanci da ya yi wa Saudiyya inda ya ce Tel Aviv ya kamata ta ƙi tayin Riyadh na daidaita al'amura a madadin samar da ƙasar Falasɗinu, yana mai ba shugabannin Saudiyya shawara da su "ci gaba da hawa raƙuma a cikin hamada".

Duk da haka, Hassan yana jin cewa da wuya Riyadh ta daidaita dangantaka da Isra'ila a wannan lokacin.

Tsawon yaushe Isra’ila za ta kai tana hakan? 

Masu sharhi sun ce ayyukan Netanyahu a cikin shekaru biyu da suka gabata sun samo asali ne daga sha'awarsa ta manne wa mulki, wanda hakan zai yiwu ne kawai tare da goyon bayan abokan hamayyarsa masu tsaurin ra’ayi.

Baya ga fuskantar shari'ar cin hanci da rashawa, Netanyahu yana kuma rasa goyon bayan jama'a game da yadda ya tafiyar da yakin Gaza, musamman batun garkuwa da mutane.

A yanzu, Netanyahu zai iya jinkirta ko neman hanyar jinkirta zaɓe a nan gaba idan yana so, amma ƙungiyoyin masu tsattsauran ra'ayi ba sa tunani kamar yadda ake yi a ƙasar dimokuraɗiyya ta yau da kullum, in ji Hawwash.

"Suna tunanin cim ma ra'ayin Baibul da suke da shi kuma cewa dokokin ƙasa da ƙasa ba su shafi Isra'ila ba."

Yayin da Netanyahu ya dakatar da dokar mayar da Isra'ila saniyar ware a baya bayan nan a sakamakon fuskantaradawar Trump, dukkan ministocin jam'iyyar Likud na gwamnatinsa sun yi kira a farkon wannan shekarar da a kwace Judea da Samariya, sunayen Yahudanci da ke cikin littafin Baibul na Yammacin Kogin Jordan. Netanyahu shi ne shugaban Likud na dogon lokaci.

Hassan ta yi imanin cewa dokar mayar da ƙasar Falasɗinu za ta ci gaba a Knesset saboda tana da goyon baya sosai daga 'yan majalisar dokokin Isra'ila.

Netanyahu ya dakatar da hakan a yanzu saboda yana fuskantar "matsin lamba mai tsanani" daga gwamnatin Amurka, in ji ta.

Amma wannan matsin lambar ba yana nufin cewa gwamnatin Amurka tana goyon bayan mafita ta jihohi biyu da Trump ya "tsaya daga gare ta" ba, in ji ta, tana mai nuni da martanin da Trump ya mayar game da ambaton mafita ta Falasɗinu da Firaministan Burtaniya Keir Starmer ya yi a lokacin ziyarar da ya kai Fadar White House kwanan nan.

A gaskiya ma, Trump ya ce bai yarda da Starmer ba kan amincewa da Birtaniya ga ƙasar Falasɗinu.

A watan Yuni, Jakadan Amurka a Isra'ila Mike Huckabee ya kuma ce Washington ba ta ci gaba da neman mafita tsakanin ƙasashe biyu ba.

A gaban waɗannan kalamai daga gwamnatin Trump, "haɗa kai a wannan lokacin ba zai zama karkata daga inda matsayin Amurka yake ba," in ji Hassan.

Amma Amurka - tare da ƙawayenta na Yamma da Musulmi-Larabawa - sun kuma san cewa idan Isra'ila ta mamaye Yammacin Kogin Jordan a yanzu, tsagaita wutar Gaza za ta ruguje, wani abu da Trump ba ya son gani, in ji ta.

Hawwash ta yarda, tana mai cewa duk da matsin lamba daga masu tsaurin ra’ayi na Isra'ila ta hanyar dabarun ɓarna daban-daban, gami da haɗaɗɗiyar ƙasa, Amurka ba za ta so ta ga an koma yaƙi ba.

"Amurka za ta fara ganin cewa Isra'ila ba ta yin komai ko da don muradin kanta ba, kuma Trump na iya ƙoƙarin kawo shi ga wata ma'ana," in ji shi.